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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplayolegio
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)75% (841–277, n=1118)50% (5–5, n=10)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL-$330K$110K$430K$15
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #13PM monthly #17PM monthly #194
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)75% (186 of 248 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)26% (won 45% of 56)20% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)14% (won 69% of 29)80% (won 100% of 4)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 63)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplayolegio
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $554Over $177Over $67K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.3KKnicks $199——
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $23Knicks $14——
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $20K——Cavaliers $14K
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $11KRaptors $193——
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.3KTeletubisie $398——
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7KCavaliers $816——
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317Pacers $266——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $143Under $323——
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $123Knicks $172——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95Vikings $6——