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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphgawxkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)50% (3–3, n=6)45% (200–248, n=448)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K-$6.9K$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14was PM monthly #991PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)70% (97 of 139 open)100% (2 of 2 open)64% (18 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 4 at avg 49¢, ROI +50%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)0%6% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)75% (won 100% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)25% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)0%7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphgawxkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $3.3KUgo Humbert $3.0K—Ugo Humbert $10K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $53K——Jazz $6.0K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $621—Lakers $9.9K
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Lakers $183—Bucks $6.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0K—Casper Ruud $5.3K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353—Lakers $3.4K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
opposite sides · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
—Jazmin Ortenzi $229—Andrea Lazaro Garcia $323
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Andrea De Marchi vs Daniele Rapagnetta
opposite sides · consensus Andrea De Marchi
—Andrea De Marchi $266—Daniele Rapagnetta $3
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Michaela Laki $74—Sachia Vickery $2
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.7KUnder $8.5K
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $778—Max Alcala Gurri $11K
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $1.0K—Aryna Sabalenka $5.3K
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $407——
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Trail Blazers $213—Trail Blazers $343
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——