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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpifyoulovemendb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)55% (311–258, n=569)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$30K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23was PM monthly #609PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus70% (16 of 23 open)69% (288 of 416 open)67% (22 of 33 open)74% (81 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)38% (won 14% of 187)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 51% of 77)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 59% of 79)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)31% (won 91% of 152)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpifyoulovemendb1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $7.2K——
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40—No $403—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $608—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $3.0K——
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773No $22K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $16K——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $19K——
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $11K——
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161No $3.3K——
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Julia Riera $870Julia Riera $2.3K——