Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighwowfarm
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)45% (200–248, n=448)100% (6–0, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K$28K$21
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #44PM monthly #546
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)70% (101 of 144 open)69% (20 of 29 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)29% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)71% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighwowfarm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $36KTaylor Fritz $10KCameron Norrie $6.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $3.3KUgo Humbert $3.3KUgo Humbert $10K—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $53K—Jazz $6.0K—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $621Lakers $9.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Lakers $183Bucks $6.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
opposite sides · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
—Jazmin Ortenzi $235Andrea Lazaro Garcia $323—
W35 Weston, FL: Sachia Vickery vs Michaela Laki
opposite sides · consensus Sachia Vickery
—Michaela Laki $81Sachia Vickery $2—
Lima: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
same side · consensus Max Alcala Gurri
—Max Alcala Gurri $763Max Alcala Gurri $11K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $1.0KAryna Sabalenka $5.3K—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $407——
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $213Trail Blazers $1.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6——