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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)63% (992–576, n=1568)60% (6575–4447, n=11022)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$4.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #96PM monthly #541
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)72% (126 of 174 open)69% (52 of 75 open)56% (27 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 2346 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)6% (won 90% of 152)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)20% (won 96% of 477)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)34% (won 98% of 806)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)39% (won 100% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494—No $8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $6
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $737—Under $93
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $10
M25 Valencia: Iliyan Radulov vs Ignacio Parisca
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $82—Ignacio Parisca $162
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56——No $27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K——No $23
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11KOver $36——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.4KYes $40——
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $25——Yes $66