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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (1167–1345, n=2512)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$9.9K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #609PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)69% (93 of 135 open)no open consensus position64% (126 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-PprimmRN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265KNo $6.2K—No $6.5K
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268KNo $1.4K—No $6.3K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $711—No $5.3K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155Under $735—Under $2.7K
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $5.3KTom Gentzsch $12——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $690—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $96
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $201—Yes $1.3K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $365—Yes $398
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357——Under $157
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $184—Over $90
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $130—No $132
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $187KYes $2.5K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K——Daniil Medvedev $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Novak Djokovic $3.3K——Novak Djokovic $30K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.4K—Yes $20K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $3.0K——Laura Samson $6.1K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $221—Over $7.9K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $4.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $927—Over $486
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $895—No $73
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251——Under $379
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $298—76ers $149
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $253—Timberwolves $126
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $40—No $253
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81