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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HaradwaithprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)39% (3365–5154, n=8519)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M-$465K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #252PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)65% (432 of 660 open)62% (8 of 13 open)54% (53 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Weather −6 pts, n=556——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)53% (won 3% of 2055)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)4% (won 35% of 170)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)5% (won 54% of 178)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)38% (won 89% of 1442)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HaradwaithprimmRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K——Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $1.5K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $13KYes $254——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $762
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $888
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $231
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $640Over $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $469
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $458
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $868No $169——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $65No $948——
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $510Jaguars $180
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $14K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $1.2K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $69——
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8KYes $195——
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KYes $80——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $54——Over $9