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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)65% (4202–2221, n=6423)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #994PM monthly #53PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (15 of 26 open)56% (92 of 164 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (67 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 100% of 43)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)13% (won 100% of 156)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)26% (won 100% of 310)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)58% (won 100% of 703)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $132KCarlos Alcaraz $68—Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $249——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2K——No $3.7K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $19—No $5.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $67—No $2.5K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Illinois $7Nebraska $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $52—Over $1.6K
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $161—Yes $415
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Raptors $10—Bucks $400
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $205—No $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5—Over $122
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $11—Cavaliers $107
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Andres Andrade $5—Maks Kasnikowski $100
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $86—Under $1
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Facundo Acosta $74—Marco Cecchinato $8
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $38—Under $12
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $16
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3—Over $7
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $8—Juan Carlos Prado $1
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $232—No $6.7K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $48—Everton FC $2.2K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $80——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $111—No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52—Over $360
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $46—Hornets $341
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $17—Hornets $341
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $79—Kings $238
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $32—Over $235
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12—Over $254
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $196Yes $25——
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $49—Under $124
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $13—Over $153
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $70—No $74
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $11—Wizards $116
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $14—Kings $110
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81—Yes $7
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $72—No $3
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Kimmer Coppejans $6—Kimmer Coppejans $48
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $11—Hornets $8