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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)65% (4210–2231, n=6441)50% (1116–1129, n=2245)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #981PM monthly #52PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)65% (42 of 65 open)no open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XprimmRN1
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Polina Kudermetova $3.9KJanice Tjen $24—Janice Tjen $11K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $249——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $53—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $14—Matteo Martineau $4.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112—No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81—Yes $7