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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1e46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)13% (1–7, n=8)75% (6–2, n=8)42% (124–169, n=293)
Consensus PnL-$384K-$48K$28$172K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #417PM monthly #2PM monthly #35
Sides with the consensus42% (5 of 12 open)50% (1 of 2 open)81% (13 of 16 open)76% (28 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21NFL −1 pts, n=116Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%50% of 451 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)10% (won 22% of 46)7% (won 11% of 46)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)36% (won 49% of 162)1% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)45% (won 52% of 203)1% (won 75% of 8)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)9% (won 73% of 40)90% (won 100% of 565)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1e46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana $91K——Marco Cecchinato $88K
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K——Jazz $17K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19K——Under $742
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
—Akron $666—Western Michigan $12K
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo
Dali Blanch $37——Marko Topo $1.8K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $3.5K——Jessica Pegula $16K
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $3.9K——Elmer Moeller $12K
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192——Kent State $1.2K