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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorpmildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)no settled market52% (6569–6087, n=12656)36% (5219–9138, n=14357)
Consensus PnL$8.0M—$3.6M-$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #14—PM monthly #10PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)no open consensus position72% (102 of 142 open)73% (74 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −4 pts, n=1555
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%37% of 5848 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)59% (won 1% of 3428)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—16% (won 40% of 255)2% (won 42% of 132)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—16% (won 62% of 260)4% (won 55% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—39% (won 94% of 637)35% (won 96% of 2066)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorpmildwindow27
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $157K—Suns $5.1K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43K—Jaguars $305—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——No $123
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $868——No $556
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $445
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K——No $260
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K—East Texas A&M Lions $397—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $266—Heat $1.3K—
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $500—Magic $770—