← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | no settled market | 43% (440–585, n=1025) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | — | $1.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | — | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (19 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (46 of 80 open) | 49% (25 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | lava-lava | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $9.6K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | — | No $8.6K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | — | Yes $4.5K | — |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | — | Alice Tubello $11K |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $28 | — | Yes $125 | — |