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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | marvelousmarvin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 64% (16–9, n=25) | 66% (490–255, n=745) |
| Consensus PnL | -$330K | $421K | $29K | -$131K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #349 | PM monthly #46 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (47 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 16 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 100% (won 100% of 16) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 0% | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | marvelousmarvin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Raptors $5.6K | — | — | Celtics $12K |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $8.5K | — | — | Celtics $539 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $317 | — | — | Wizards $236 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $11K | — | — | Raptors $148 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.6K | — | — | Raptors $219 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $4.3K | — | — | Pacers $2.6K |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $3.7K | — | — | Cavaliers $189 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $554 | — | — | Under $262 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $123 | — | — | Knicks $382 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $143 | — | — | Under $252 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | — | — | Cavaliers $102 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $89 | — | — | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16 |