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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465isco22keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)no settled market45% (216–261, n=477)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL-$330K—$122K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #9—PM monthly #34PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)no open consensus position69% (44 of 64 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%—100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)—6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)—38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)—50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)—7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465isco22keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $88K—Jazz $5.5K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.3K—Knicks $16K—
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $5.6K—Celtics $11K—
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $5.5K—Wizards $8.6K—
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.6K——Over $6.8K
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $9.4K—Celtics $993—
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $645—Flames $7.4K—
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.1KUMass $4.9K
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7K—Knicks $280—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $18K—Cavaliers $7.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.6K—Raptors $1.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $8.5K—Raptors $55—