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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (952–993, n=1945)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M-$1.3K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #2PM monthly #598PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)no open consensus position46% (71 of 156 open)67% (45 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $170No $4.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Under $25Over $3.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $84—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $607Yes $5.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Ryan Nijboer $10Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $129Under $2.4K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $468Carole Monnet $974
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $777Yes $546
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $271Yes $119
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $94Under $139
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
——NEC $221AS Omónoia Leukosías $3
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
——Murkel Dellien $27Juan Pablo Ficovich $37
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $4.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
——Nuno Borges $17KNuno Borges $8.6K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K—Under $101—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.7KOver $1.9K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.0KNo $62
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $118No $2.3K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $12No $1.9K
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $392No $933
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $161—No $942—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $7Over $675
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $141
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34Under $49
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
same side · consensus Greet Minnen
——Lisa Pigato $2Lisa Pigato $48