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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)85% (1304–235, n=1539)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$14.8M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)62% (8 of 13 open)54% (53 of 98 open)92% (59 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1887 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)13% (won 9% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)76% (won 97% of 1437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1xxNyx
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K—Jaguars $7.6K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K—Jaguars $1.6K—
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K—Florida Atlantic $762—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $888—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $231—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $640Over $1.1K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $698Under $469—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $599Over $458—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $510Jaguars $180—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30——No $89
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $14K—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K—Ravens $1.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $54—Over $9—