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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmS-WorksTeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)51% (70–66, n=136)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$3.6M$3.8M$586K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #46PM monthly #60PM monthly #437
Sides with the consensus65% (24 of 37 open)83% (10 of 12 open)33% (1 of 3 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%55% of 132 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)19% (won 32% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)38% (won 50% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)36% (won 66% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)8% (won 80% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmS-WorksTeGeeLP
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $316K—T1 $863KT1 $91K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $53K——T1 $1
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $63K—Pelicans $7.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $60K——T1 $25
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13KOver $13K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $28——T1 $6