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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)47% (592–670, n=1262)46% (555–663, n=1218)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)no settled market
Consensus PnL$85K$11.2M$3.3M—
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #2PM monthly #21—
Sides with the consensus67% (230 of 342 open)66% (21 of 32 open)71% (183 of 258 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplay
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $168No $407K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64Yes $33K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $42Yes $9.2K——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $336—Yes $2.5K—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $728—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $15—No $4.6K—
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $216—No $100—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $17—No $87—
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6—No $97—