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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | primm | RN1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (38–1, n=39) | 65% (17–9, n=26) | 67% (383–189, n=572) | 41% (12–17, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | $169 | -$10K | -$126K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #212 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (229 of 269 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 63% (86 of 137 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 84 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 11% of 9) | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 100% of 73) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | primm | RN1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $14K | Under $1.0K | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10K | Over $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Ohio $2.6K | Miami (OH) $19 | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Ohio $390 | Miami (OH) $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Ohio $329 | Miami (OH) $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Ohio $931 | Miami (OH) $102 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $218 | Under $36 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.2K | Over $742 | — |