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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4c07bf46017Ef52C0bEA3FE4253185DeC1316200-1769689308184RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)55% (148–119, n=267)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL-$14K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #886PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)38% (5 of 13 open)86% (54 of 63 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +20 pts n=96, ROI +18%
  • Tennis +22 pts n=43, ROI +20%
  • MLB +22 pts n=14, ROI +22%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won74% of 198 at avg 57¢, ROI +17%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 27% of 15)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 75% of 36)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 73% of 104)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 93% of 43)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4c07bf46017Ef52C0bEA3FE4253185DeC1316200-1769689308184RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $44KEagles $1.3K
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.3K—Eagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23—Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $32KCommanders $1.1M—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $188KCommanders $3.9K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $766—Under $1.5K