Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (46 of 60 open)55% (86 of 157 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $136K76ers $371
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115KNo $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101KCowboys $5.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $66
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $496
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $40076ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339KNo $53K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $208KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KGiants $7.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3KBrowns $303