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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhig
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)62% (415–251, n=666)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$350K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)73% (101 of 139 open)66% (37 of 56 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)45% (won 13% of 283)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)18% (won 43% of 111)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)13% (won 81% of 80)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)25% (won 95% of 158)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhig
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $265KJaguars $305—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $68K—Yes $9.6K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.3K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $628Yes $545
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50K—Yes $324