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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 58% (10638–7638, n=18276) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $4.2M | $49K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #121 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 81% (220 of 272 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 2% (won 46% of 134) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 61% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.