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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankndb1tetrose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (546–663, n=1209)65% (870–459, n=1329)53% (126–111, n=237)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$4.2M$86K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #11was PM monthly #721
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (34 of 51 open)74% (25 of 34 open)41% (7 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%56% of 301 at avg 42¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)46% (won 15% of 137)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)12% (won 80% of 35)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)16% (won 85% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)27% (won 99% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankndb1tetrose
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KNo $2.0M—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $56No $1.5M—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.5KYes $820K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $327KYes $1.7K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $241KYes $503K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $378KYes $118—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $7.5K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KYes $145—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2No $35—