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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (5359–4920, n=10279)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL—$625K$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #58PM monthly #1PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (81 of 143 open)no open consensus position73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 19% of 1341)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 46% of 3607)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 61% of 3523)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 86% of 1699)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677ndb1
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $626—Yes $420
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $65—Yes $525
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $160
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $121
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $286—Yes $62K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $6
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $275—No $2.4K
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $700—Yes $3
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—Yes $454
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26—No $5