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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)67% (43–21, n=64)48% (217–237, n=454)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M-$64K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24PM monthly #22 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)44% (12 of 27 open)58% (51 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)30% (won 57% of 63)47% (won 100% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)46% (won 100% of 82)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Jets vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $60KCanadiens $3.1K
Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
——Miami (OH) $29KMiami (OH) $12K
Spread: Ohio (-13.5)
same side · consensus Ohio
——Akron $28KAkron $563
Utah vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
——Utah $9.6KUtah $678
Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8.9KUnder $204
Oilers vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
——Devils $3.0KDevils $615
Spread: Ohio (-6.5)
same side · consensus Akron
——Ohio $70Ohio $2.4K
Stars vs. Capitals
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $511Stars $118
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $17Under $353