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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 35% (510–967, n=1477) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $44K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 37% (16 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (95 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.