← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (517–626, n=1143) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (1040–1058, n=2098) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $6.1M | $11.0M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (35 of 57 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (79 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=313 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1818 at avg 63¢, ROI +6% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 1% of 637) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 51% of 37) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 74% of 54) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 99% of 1090) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $21 | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $62 | — | No $43K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $361 | — | No $22K | — |