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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)48% (2151–2335, n=4486)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$78K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #405PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus28% (36 of 130 open)79% (53 of 67 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=1115, ROI +1%
  • NBA +10 pts n=68, ROI +19%
  • MLB +2 pts n=444, ROI −3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 5% of 1196)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 61% of 23)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 53% of 15)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 1828)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $74Yes $274K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2KNo $253K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14KYes $172K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $227No $40K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $476Yes $28K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4Yes $21K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.3KNo $202K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.9KYes $85K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19Yes $17K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $11No $16K—