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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2154–2335, n=4489) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $76K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #405 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (20 of 81 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 5% of 1196) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 61% of 23) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 53% of 15) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 98% of 1828) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.3K | — | No $252K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $227 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $473 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $192 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.6K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.2K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $82 | — | No $10K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $4.4K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $2 | No $18 | — | — |