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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #229 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (59 of 84 open) | 48% (11 of 23 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $196 | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.2K | — | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $43K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | No $34K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Eagles $3.6K | Commanders $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $180 | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.6K | Commanders $161K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $924 | — | Yes $36K | — |