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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (874–5946, n=6820) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 47% (13887–15369, n=29256) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $11.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 82% (134 of 163 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 62% (57 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=514 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 13% of 3633 at avg 14¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 82% (won 3% of 2987) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 35% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 64% of 188) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 83% of 175) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.