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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)36% (524–913, n=1437)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$95K—$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #32—PM monthly #2PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (215 of 300 open)no open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)63% (183 of 292 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=687———
Settled positions, side won59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 3% of 1478)—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 121)—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 163)—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 98% of 2142)—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $327KYes $47K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24—No $258K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $64KYes $31K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $56KNo $148
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $651KNo $6.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.2KNo $6.5K