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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)88% (7–1, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$48K$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #718 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)66% (99 of 151 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 19 at avg 96¢, ROI +4%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 19)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $233K—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $321K—Yes $77K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $192Raiders $171K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.9K—Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $728—No $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K—