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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)86% (2009–318, n=2327)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)
Consensus PnL$232K$11.2M$5.6M$3.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #429PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus position53% (94 of 177 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMMA −1 pts, n=23———
Settled positions, side won85% of 1982 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 8% of 191)10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 46% of 94)36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 68% of 164)35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 1533)19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.6K—Yes $2.1K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $149
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $18K—Yes $1.8K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15K—Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $69
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $59
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41