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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0primmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4290–3671, n=7961)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$70K$3.7M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)no open consensus position58% (25 of 43 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=88, ROI +44%
  • NBA +38 pts n=424, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +34 pts n=586, ROI +36%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1189 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 99% of 90)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 256)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 341)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 502)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0primmRN1S-Works
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $52—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
opposite sides · consensus Lui Maxted
Mitchell Krueger $20—Lui Maxted $3.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1—Over $1.8K—
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
Polona Hercog $102—Polona Hercog $4.5K—
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
same side · consensus Johannus Monday
Johannus Monday $70—Johannus Monday $1.7K—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
same side · consensus Luca Nardi
Luca Nardi $12—Luca Nardi $891—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Calvin Hemery
Calvin Hemery $42—Calvin Hemery $35—