← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (497–182, n=679) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $97K | $11.1M | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (145 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (53 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 639 at avg 68¢, ROI +11% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 6% of 35) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 53% of 83) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 82% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 94% of 345) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.