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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)55% (14722–12207, n=26929)45% (549–663, n=1212)65% (876–462, n=1338)no settled market
Consensus PnL$346K$11.2M$4.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #153PM monthly #2PM monthly #11—
Sides with the consensus59% (258 of 437 open)67% (29 of 43 open)79% (19 of 24 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=123—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢52% (won 11% of 7196)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)—
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 60% of 1788)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)—
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1712)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)—
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3193)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1sainttroplay
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.8KYes $16K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $38Yes $12K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KNo $2.9K——
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $2.7K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $802——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $250Yes $63K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $938No $56K——
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5Yes $51K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $489No $31K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $168Yes $22K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $209No $12K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1Yes $4.1K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $47Yes $28——