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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7eBreakTheBankbeachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)58% (381–276, n=657)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)
Consensus PnL$29K$10.6M$5.8M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #622PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position91% (148 of 163 open)100% (2 of 2 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +38 pts n=229, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won99% of 229 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 93% of 15)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 41)36% (won 98% of 198)29% (won 56% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 108)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 97% of 65)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7eBreakTheBankbeachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $274K—No $3.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $202K—No $214
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $85K—Yes $348
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $31K—Yes $3.5K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $28K—No $815
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22K—Yes $897
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $161
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $65Yes $1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $230—Yes $9