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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy888sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (4392–3296, n=7688)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$379K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus76% (66 of 87 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2035——
Settled positions, side won56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 590)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1641)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2379)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1620)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy888sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—No $184K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $25—Chiefs $60K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K—Yes $37K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40K—Yes $1.1K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14—Magic $24K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K—Yes $272K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K—No $40K