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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5792–6984, n=12776) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.4K | $14.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (91 of 182 open) | 56% (25 of 45 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $857 | — | No $253K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $761 | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | Yes $31K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.3K | — | Yes $21K |
| Villa Maria: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Mateo Del Pino | Mateo Del Pino $843 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $11 | — |
| Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $101 | Under $78 | — |
| Charlottesville: James Kent Trotter vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | James Kent Trotter $76 | Ozan Baris $3 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | No $114K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $899 | — | Yes $83K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie $4.0K | Cameron Norrie $28K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $599 | — | No $30K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $829 | — | Yes $29K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $270 | — | No $25K |
| Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $4.5K | Ryo Tabata $20K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | No $7.7K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Vadym Ursu same side · consensus Eero Vasa | Eero Vasa $373 | Eero Vasa $4.3K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $326 | 76ers $495 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Hornets $260 | Hornets $278 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-12.5) same side · consensus Bulls | 76ers $119 | 76ers $213 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-13.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $159 | 76ers $99 | — |
| Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $111 | Over $129 | — |
| Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $87 | Over $140 | — |