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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$7.7M$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #1PM monthly #113PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)73% (43 of 59 open)72% (71 of 98 open)54% (85 of 156 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $1.4K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $4.0K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.2K—76ers $371
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $235K—No $4.7K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K