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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)95% (3818–184, n=4002)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL-$9.7K$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #853PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus91% (30 of 33 open)77% (47 of 61 open)74% (144 of 195 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142K76ers $823—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $29K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $229—No $6.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $40076ers $592—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KColts $63—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $14KBulls $1.6K—