Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)96% (3970–187, n=4157)41% (589–853, n=1442)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL-$14K$7.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #2PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus90% (37 of 41 open)89% (33 of 37 open)56% (5 of 9 open)53% (28 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112———
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $605Over $4.2K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $575K—No $174
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $36KBengals $5.4K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.5K——Yes $4.5K
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $1.4KFalcons $304