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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)96% (3970–187, n=4157)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.1M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #10PM monthly #98PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus90% (37 of 41 open)68% (107 of 157 open)73% (111 of 152 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigFlaznorpndb1primm
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67—Chiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $168—Lions $14K
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $627—No $29K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $91—Colts $4.9K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $495—Yes $525—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $162No $115—