Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AmericaFirst1CORGII00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)65% (2087–1126, n=3213)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$2.4K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #750PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 52% of 21)9% (won 92% of 36)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 96% of 244)56% (won 99% of 223)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 97% of 482)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 750)2% (won 100% of 7)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAmericaFirst1CORGII00gringo00primm
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $1.1K——Raiders $5.8K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $734——Bills $4.5K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $390——Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $232——Bills $2.7K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $415——Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $400——Bills $2.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $28——Cardinals $1.1K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $286——Bills $662
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $54——Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $55——Bills $282
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $51——Under $261
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Raiders $11——Raiders $138
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20——Under $105