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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AmericaFirst1CORGIIRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)65% (2102–1132, n=3234)62% (393–246, n=639)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$2.4K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #750PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)33% (1 of 3 open)45% (5 of 11 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 52% of 21)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 96% of 244)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 97% of 482)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 750)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAmericaFirst1CORGIIRN1primm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $146—Commanders $2.1KEagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $70—Commanders $23Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $473—Commanders $31K—
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.3KEagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Eagles $274——Eagles $2.5K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $778Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Eagles $220——Eagles $1.3K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7——Under $655