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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Anon455 | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1355–836, n=2191) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$89K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #679 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (41 of 76 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=276 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1710 at avg 57¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 11% of 303) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 39% of 314) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 70% of 470) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 92% of 623) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Anon455 | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $1.9K | — | — | Browns $297K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $36K | — | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $108K | — | — | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $52K | — | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $447 | — | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $80K | — | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $910 | — | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $325 | — | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) same side · consensus Jets | Raiders $248 | — | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $34 | — | — | Bills $2.1K |