← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (6810–7564, n=14374) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $323K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #167 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (110 of 146 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=1794 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 15740 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 5199) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 32% of 1681) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 52% of 1780) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 7080) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.