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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Arman2 | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (265–177, n=442) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $418 | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 55% (68 of 123 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance −16 pts, n=19 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 551 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 8% of 156) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 55) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 67% of 75) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 91% of 265) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Arman2 | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $28K | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |