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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (321–71, n=392) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #304 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 69% (312 of 449 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 60% (234 of 389 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
72 on the same side, 69 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Bucks $12K | Celtics $1.3K | — | Bucks $765 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Bucks $3.1K | Celtics $1.5K | — | Bucks $57 |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Bucks $72 | Bucks $3.8K | — | Celtics $485 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $25K | — | Over $3.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $370 | — | No $13K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Over $247 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | — | No $9.1K |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.9K | — | Over $583 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | No $8.0K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $79 | — | No $6.0K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | — | No $4.6K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $92 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | — | No $3.0K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K | — | Max Wiskandt $1.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | — | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | Yes $103 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.3K | — | No $63 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $343 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | — | Under $1.7K |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | Maxwell McKennon $849 | — | Mauricio Echazu $1.1K |
| Spread: Hawks (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $1.9K | — | Hawks $5 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $80 | — | No $1.6K |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.5K | — | Knicks $158 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $23 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $196 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $4 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | — | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $83 | — | No $1.4K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $23 |
| Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Senators $66 | — | Sabres $1.3K |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $138 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $12 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $988 | — | Bulls $47 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $372 | — | Under $394 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $753 | — | Under $8 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $87 |
| Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus São Paulo FC | — | São Paulo FC $594 | — | SC Corinthians Paulista $130 |
| Spread: Hawks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $689 | — | Wizards $24 |
| Spread: Celtics (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $702 | — | Celtics $3 |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $78 | — | Over $535 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $555 | — | Bulls $16 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $330 | — | Over $235 |